Disaster Resilience in Serbia: A Narrative Synthesis of Institutional, Social, and Perception-Based Evidence
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19910047Keywords:
community resilience, integrated disaster risk reduction system, disaster resilience measurement, resilience actors, resilience perception, preventionAbstract
This paper examines disaster resilience from a multidisciplinary perspective in the Republic of Serbia. It analyzes the development of disaster management within the framework of a modern Integrated Disaster Risk Reduction System, grounded in the principles of community resilience. It examines how resilience is perceived by actors participating in its construction, primarily institutions and their organizations in Serbia, but also individuals, that is, persons who are professional exponents of institutions and citizens themselves. By reviewing research on the resilience of local communities in Serbia, one can clearly see the problems Serbia faces in disaster resilience. Although there are normative frameworks for improving resilience, mechanisms for implementing instruments at the local level are lacking. Limited information, fragmented cooperation, and strong reliance on central authorities remain the main problems of institutions. For individuals, structural and psychosocial factors shape the perception of resilience. An examination of the current state of individual resilience actors in Serbia indicates a clear need for continuous measurement of resilience, focusing on the most important factors that influence it. Resilience cannot be understood without a deeper and more comprehensive examination of its individual factors. The low perception of resilience among individuals, both institutional representatives and citizens, underscores the need for targeted reforms to address the clearly identified shortcomings in research. Strengthening the institutional capacities of local government units, encouraging citizen participation in planning processes, integrating traditional values with scientific approaches, and promoting a culture of prevention through education are just some of the steps that must be taken in the short term. In contrast, long-term strategic investments in community and institutional capacities are essential. Through the above steps, social cohesion, institutional trust, and local capacities can be built as determinants of resilience.
Downloads
References
1. Alexander, D. (2003). Natural disasters. Berlin, Germany: Springer.
2. Asghar, S., Alahakoon, D., & Churilov, L. (2006). A comprehensive conceptual model for disaster management. Journal of Humanitarian Assistance, 1–15. Retrieved from https://reliefweb.int/report/world/comprehensive-conceptual-model-disaster-management
3. Balanggoy, H. K. (2024). Implementation of disaster risk reduction and management. International Journal of Disaster Risk Management, 6(2), 119–131. https://doi.org/10.18485/ijdrm.2024.6.2.8
4. Beli, A., Renner, R., Cvetković, V. M., Ivanov, A., & Gačić, J. (2025). A cross-national study of disaster risk management: Strengths and weaknesses in Bulgaria, Romania, and Albania with reflections on Serbia. International Journal of Disaster Risk Management, 7(1), 431–460. https://doi.org/10.18485/ijdrm.2025.7.1.25
5. Boon, H. J., Cottrell, A., King, D., Stevenson, R. B., & Millar, J. (2012). Bronfenbrenner’s bioecological theory for modelling community resilience to natural disasters. Natural Hazards, 60(2), 381–408. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-011-0021-4
6. Bourdieu, P. (1990). Structures, habitus, practices. In The logic of practice. Oxfordshire, England: Routledge.
7. Cutter, S. L. (2024). Baseline resilience indicators for communities (BRIC): Theory to practice. In Encyclopedia of technological hazards and disasters in the social sciences (pp. 41–45). https://doi.org/10.4337/9781800882201.ch07
8. Cutter, S. L., Ash, K. D., & Emrich, C. T. (2014). The geographies of community disaster resilience. Global Environmental Change, 29, 65–77. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2014.08.005
9. Cvetković, V. (2020). Upravljanje rizicima u vanrednim situacijama [Risk management in emergency situations]. Beograd, Srbija: Naučno-stručno društvo za upravljanje rizicima u vanrednim situacijama.
10. Cvetković, V. (2023). Integrisano smanjenje rizika od katastrofa izazvanih požarima: Pregled literature [Integrated fire disaster risk reduction: A literature review]. Časopis za diplomatiju i bezbednost, 6(2), 11–70.
11. Cvetković, V. M. (2023). A predictive model of community disaster resilience based on social identity influences (MODERSI). International Journal of Disaster Risk Management, 5(2), 57–80. https://doi.org/10.18485/ijdrm.2023.5.2.5
12. Cvetković, V. M., & Šišović, V. (2024). Understanding the sustainable development of community (social) disaster resilience in Serbia: Demographic and socio-economic impacts. Sustainability, 16(7), Article 2620. https://doi.org/10.3390/su16072620
13. Cvetković, V. M., Dragašević, A., Protić, D., Janković, B., Nikolić, N., & Milošević, P. (2022). Fire safety behavior model for residential buildings: Implications for disaster risk reduction. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 76, Article 102981. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2022.102981
14. Cvetković, V. M., Milenković, D., & Lukić, T. (2026). Measuring community disaster resilience in Serbia using an adapted BRIC framework grounded in DROP: Index construction and regional disparities. Geosciences, 16(4), Article 135. https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences16040135
15. Cvetković, V. M., Milenković, D., Bašić, J., Lukić, T., & Renner, R. (2026). Predictive model of community disaster resilience across Serbia: A BRIC–DROP composite index and spatial patterns. Preprints. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202602.1879.v1
16. Cvetković, V. M., Romanić, S., & Beriša, H. (2023). Religion influence on disaster risk reduction: A case study of Serbia. International Journal of Disaster Risk Management, 5(1), 66–81. https://doi.org/10.18485/ijdrm.2023.5.1.6
17. Cvetković, V., & Martinović, J. (2020). Innovative solutions for flood risk management. International Journal of Disaster Risk Management, 2(2), 71–99. https://doi.org/10.18485/ijdrm.2020.2.2.5
18. Cvetković, V., & Miladinović, S. (2018). Spremnost sistema zaštite i spasavanja Republike Srbije za implementaciju integrisanog upravljanja rizicima od katastrofa – preporuke za sprovođenje istraživanja [Preparedness of the protection and rescue system of the Republic of Serbia for the implementation of integrated disaster risk management – recommendations for conducting research]. Ecologica, 25(92), 995–1001. Retrieved from https://www.ecologica.org.rs/wp-content/uploads/2018/12/SADRZAJ-EC-BROJ-92.pdf
19. Cvetković, V., & Radonjić, S. (2022). Ugrožavanje bezbednosti lokalnih zajednica u vanrednim situacijama izazvanim poplavama [Endangering the security of local communities in emergencies caused by floods]. Politika nacionalne bezbednosti, 22(1), 81–105. https://doi.org/10.22182/pnb.2212022.4
20. Cvetković, V., Filipović, M., & Gačić, J. (2019). Zbirka propisa iz oblasti upravljanja rizicima od katastrofa [Collection of regulations in the field of disaster risk management]. Beograd, Srbija: Naučno-stručno društvo za upravljanje rizicima u vanrednim situacijama.
21. Cvetković, V., Jakovljević, V., & Gačić, J. (2015). Floods in the Republic of Serbia – Vulnerability and human security. In Twenty years of human security: Theoretical foundations and practical applications (pp. 277–286). Beograd, Srbija: Fakultet bezbednosti Univerziteta u Beogradu. Retrieved from https://rhinosec.fb.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/299
22. Cvetković, V., Milenković, D., Lukić, T., & Renner, R. (2025). Theoretical evolution of measuring community resilience to natural and technological disasters: Past, present, and future – Empirical insights from qualitative research in Serbia. Research Square. https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-8215077/v1
23. Cvetković, V., Tanasić, J., Ocal, A., Keštović, Ž., Nikolić, N., & Dragašević, A. (2021). Capacity development of local self-governments for disaster risk management. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 18(19), Article 10406. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph181910406
24. Cyr, J. (2005). At risk: Natural hazards, people’s vulnerability and disasters. Journal of Homeland Security and Emergency Management, 2(2). https://doi.org/10.2202/1547-7355.1131
25. Dada, K. S. J., Hamza, J. M., & Mohammed, H. A. (2025). Disaster risk management in libraries and information centers: Global strategies, challenges, policy and recommendations. International Journal of Disaster Risk Management, 7(1), 203–214. https://doi.org/10.18485/ijdrm.2025.7.1.11
26. Desalit, P. C., Duque, G. B. C., Edradan, T. M. G., Enciso, K. H. S., Enriquez, M. R. K., & Pan, W. K. M. (2025). Predictors of disaster response self-efficacy among adult residents in selected highly-dense barangays in Tondo, Manila. International Journal of Disaster Risk Management, 7(1), 301–312. https://doi.org/10.18485/ijdrm.2025.7.1.17
27. EU za Srbiju otpornu na katastrofe [EU for disaster-resilient Serbia]. (2024, April 1). Retrieved from https://www.undp.org/sr/serbia/projects/eu-za-srbiju-otpornu-na-katastrofe
28. Guo, X., & Kapucu, N. (2019). Examining stakeholder participation in social stability risk assessment for mega projects using network analysis. International Journal of Disaster Risk Management, 1(1), 1–31. https://doi.org/10.18485/ijdrm.2019.1.1.1
29. Hall, P. A., & Lamont, M. (2013). Social resilience in the neoliberal era. Cambridge, England: Cambridge University Press.
30. Hanspal, M. S., & Behera, B. (2025). Disaster management laws in India: Past, present, and future directions. International Journal of Disaster Risk Management, 7(1), 115–135. https://doi.org/10.18485/ijdrm.2025.7.1.7
31. Hegney, D. G., Buikstra, E., Baker, P., Rogers-Clark, C., Pearce, S., Ross, H., & Watson-Luke, A. (2007). Individual resilience in rural people: A Queensland study, Australia. Rural and Remote Health, 7(4), 1–13. Retrieved from https://search.informit.org/doi/10.3316/informit.516561880817531
32. Henderson, L. J. (2004). Emergency and disaster: Pervasive risk and public bureaucracy in developing nations. Public Organization Review, 4, 103–119. https://doi.org/10.1023/B:PORJ.0000031624.46153.b2
33. Hromada, M., & Lukáš, L. (2012). Critical infrastructure protection and the evaluation process. International Journal of Disaster Recovery and Business Continuity, 3, 37–46. Retrieved from https://publikace.k.utb.cz/handle/10563/1010709
34. Ivanov, A. (2024). Disaster risk reduction and disaster risk management: State of play in North Macedonia. International Journal of Disaster Risk Management, 6(2), 202–212. https://doi.org/10.18485/ijdrm.2024.6.2.13
35. Janković, B., Sakač, A., & Iričanin, I. (2023). Students’ perception of police readiness to respond to disasters caused by a COVID-19 pandemic. International Journal of Disaster Risk Management, 5(1). https://doi.org/10.18485/ijdrm.2023.5.1.4
36. Jazić, A. (2015). A new approach to the system of civil protection in the European Union. Međunarodni problemi, 67(1), 64–78. https://doi.org/10.2298/MEDJP1501064J
37. Jevtić, M., Cvetković, V. M., Gačić, J., & Raonić, Z. (2025). Factors of vulnerability and resilience of persons with disabilities during disasters: Challenges and strategies for inclusive risk reduction. International Journal of Disaster Risk Management, 7(1), 91–113. https://doi.org/10.18485/ijdrm.2025.7.1.6
38. Keck, M., & Sakdapolrak, P. (2013). What is social resilience? Lessons learned and ways forward. Erdkunde, 67(1), 5–19. Retrieved from https://www.jstor.org/stable/23595352
39. Lettieri, E., Masella, C., & Radaelli, G. (2009). Disaster management: Findings from a systematic review. Disaster Prevention and Management, 18(2), 117–136. https://doi.org/10.1108/09653560910953207
40. Lipovac, M., & Cvetković, V. (2015). Integrisani sistem zaštite i spasavanja u vanrednim situacijama – sistem „broj 112 za hitne pozive“ [Integrated protection and rescue system in emergencies – the “112 emergency number” system]. Evropsko zakonodavstvo, 54, 300–307. Retrieved from https://rhinosec.fb.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/266
41. Maclean, K., Cuthill, M., & Ross, H. (2013). Six attributes of social resilience. Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, 57(1), 144–156. https://doi.org/10.1080/09640568.2013.763774
42. Maduz, L., Prior, T., Roth, F., & Käser, M. (2019). Individual disaster preparedness: Explaining disaster-related information seeking and preparedness behavior in Switzerland. Zürich, Switzerland: Center for Security Studies. https://doi.org/10.3929/ethz-b-000356695
43. Maguire, B., & Hagan, P. (2007). Disasters and communities: Understanding social resilience. The Australian Journal of Emergency Management, 22(2), 16–20. Retrieved from https://search.informit.org/doi/10.3316/informit.839750155412061
44. Masaba, A. K., Aryatwijuka, W., Ntayi, J. M., & Bagire, V. (2025). Network structure in disaster response: The mediating role of coordination within a humanitarian organizational network in Uganda. International Journal of Disaster Risk Management, 7(1), 39–53. https://doi.org/10.18485/ijdrm.2025.7.1.3
45. Mavrodieva, A. V., Budiarti, D. S., Yu, Z., Pasha, F. A., & Shaw, R. (2019). Governmental incentivization for SMEs’ engagement in disaster resilience in Southeast Asia. International Journal of Disaster Risk Management, 1(1), 32–50. https://doi.org/10.18485/ijdrm.2019.1.1.2
46. Milenković, D. (2025). Theoretical, institutional and organizational aspects of the integrated disaster risk reduction system: Towards a deeper understanding of disaster resilience in Serbia. International Journal of Contemporary Security Studies, 1(1), 175–190. https://doi.org/10.18485/fb_ijcss.2025.1.1.13
47. Milenković, D., & Cvetković, V. M. (2025). Rethinking disaster resilience: Conceptual framework, core dimensions, and key actors. International Journal of Disaster Risk Management, 7(2), 455–468. https://doi.org/10.18485/ijdrm.2025.7.2.25
48. Milenković, D., Cvetković, V. M., Beriša, H., Jakovljević, V., Gačić, J., & Cvetković, V. D. (2025). Beyond the original BRIC model: Gaps, limitations, and adaptation of community resilience indicators for local contexts. Preprints. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202512.2546.v1
49. Milenković, D., Cvetković, V., & Renner, R. (2024). A systematic literary review on community resilience indicators: Adaptation and application of the BRIC method for measuring disasters resilience. International Journal of Disaster Risk Management, 6(2), 79–103. https://doi.org/10.18485/ijdrm.2024.6.2.6
50. Milenković, D., Cvetković, V., Ivanov, A., & Renner, R. (2024). Impact of cyber space on security in the context of armed conflicts: Toward disaster risk resilience. International Yearbook, 1, 29–53. https://doi.org/10.20544/IYFS.44.1.24
51. Milošević, G., Cvjetković, C., & Baturan, L. (2024). State aid in reconstruction of natural and other disasters consequences using the budget funds of the Republic of Serbia. International Journal of Disaster Risk Management, 6(2), 169–182. https://doi.org/10.18485/ijdrm.2024.6.2.11
52. Ministarstvo unutrašnjih poslova Republike Srbije. (2025, February 15). Sektor za vanredne situacije [Sector for Emergency Management]. Retrieved from http://prezentacije.mup.gov.rs/svs/
53. Moe, T. L., & Pathranarakul, P. (2006). An integrated approach to natural disaster management: Public project management and its critical success factors. Disaster Prevention and Management, 15(3), 396–413. https://doi.org/10.1108/09653560610669882
54. O’Brien, G., O’Keefe, P., Gadema, Z., & Swords, J. (2010). Approaching disaster management through social learning. Disaster Prevention and Management, 19(4), 498–508. https://doi.org/10.1108/09653561011070402
55. Öcal, A. (2021). Disaster management in Turkey: A spatial approach. International Journal of Disaster Risk Management, 3(1). https://doi.org/10.18485/ijdrm.2021.3.1.2
56. Pavićević, O., Bulatović, A., & Ilijić, L. (2019). Otpornost asimetrije makro-diskursa i mikro procesa [Resilience of the asymmetry between macro-discourse and micro-processes]. Beograd, Srbija: Institut za kriminološka i sociološka istraživanja.
57. Phillips, B., & Jenkins, P. (2010). The roles of faith-based organizations after Hurricane Katrina. In R. P. Kilmer, V. Gil-Rivas, R. G. Tedeschi, & L. G. Calhoun (Eds.), Helping families and communities recover from disaster: Lessons learned from Hurricane Katrina and its aftermath (pp. 215–238). Washington, DC: American Psychological Association. https://doi.org/10.1037/12054-009
58. Savić, S., Stanković, M., & Anđelković, B. (2005). Preventivno inženjerstvo – sistemsko inženjerstvo rizika [Preventive engineering – systems risk engineering]. Istraživanja i projektovanja za privredu, 3(9), 17–28. Retrieved from https://www.engineeringscience.rs/articles/volume-3-article-53
59. Schneid, T. D., & Collins, L. (2001). Disaster management and preparedness. New York, NY: Lewis Publishers.
60. Simonovic, S. P. (2011). Systems approach to management of disasters: Methods. Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons.
61. Tanasić, J., & Cvetković, V. (2024). The efficiency of disaster and crisis management policy at the local level: Lessons from Serbia. Beograd, Srbija: Scientific-Professional Society for Disaster Risk Management.
62. Tushabe, G., Rukundo, P. M., Kaaya, A. N., Nahalomo, A., Nateme, N. C., Iversen, P. O., Andreassen, B. A., & Rukooko, A. B. (2025). Retrogressive or misplaced priorities? An assessment of public expenditure for food security and disaster risk reduction in Uganda. International Journal of Disaster Risk Management, 7(1), 15–38. https://doi.org/10.18485/ijdrm.2025.7.1.2
63. United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction. (2015). Sendai framework for disaster risk reduction 2015–2030. Geneva, Switzerland: United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction. Retrieved from https://www.undrr.org/publication/sendai-framework-disaster-risk-reduction-2015-2030
64. Vidović, N., Cvetković, V. M., Beriša, H., & Milašinović, S. (2025). Understanding ransomware through the lens of disaster risk: Implications for cybersecurity and economic stability. International Journal of Disaster Risk Management, 7(1), 247–264. https://doi.org/10.18485/ijdrm.2025.7.1.14
65. Wisner, B., Blaikie, P., Cannon, T., & Davis, I. (2004). At risk: Natural hazards, people’s vulnerability and disasters (2nd ed.). London, England: Routledge.
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2026 Dalibor Milenković, Vladimir Cvetković (Author)

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
By submitting a manuscript to the Scientific and Professional Conference ‘‘Predrag Marić‘‘, Faculty of Security Studies, University of Belgrade, authors acknowledge and agree to the following copyright terms and conditions:
-
Author Rights and Ownership
- Authors retain the copyright to their submitted work. However, by submitting their manuscript, authors grant the Scientific and Professional Conference ‘‘Predrag Marić‘‘, Faculty of Security Studies, University of Belgrade a non-exclusive right to publish, distribute, and archive the work in any format (print, digital, or electronic).
- Authors are free to share, reproduce, and distribute their published work, provided proper credit is given to the original publication in this journal.
-
Licensing and Open Access Policy
- The journal publishes under the [insert applicable license, e.g., Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY)], which allows others to share and adapt the work with appropriate attribution.
- Authors are responsible for ensuring that their submission complies with the journal's licensing terms and does not violate any third-party rights.
-
Originality and Permissions
- The submitted work must be original and not previously published or under consideration elsewhere.
- If the manuscript includes copyrighted materials (e.g., figures, tables, excerpts), authors must obtain the necessary permissions for reproduction and provide appropriate attribution.
-
Author Warranties
- By submitting, authors confirm that their work does not infringe on any intellectual property rights, is free from plagiarism, and adheres to ethical publishing standards.
- The journal is not responsible for any legal disputes arising from copyright infringement, misrepresentation, or unauthorized use of third-party materials.
-
Editorial and Publication Rights
- Scientific and Professional Conference ‘‘Predrag Marić‘‘, Faculty of Security Studies, University of Belgrade reserves the right to make editorial modifications to ensure clarity, consistency, and compliance with journal standards.
- If accepted, the manuscript will be published online and made publicly available according to the journal’s open-access policy.
By proceeding with submission, authors confirm that they have read and agreed to the terms outlined in this Copyright Notice.